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Red80
560823.6
297448.8
694414.9
Blue10
332913.3
44596.6
47017.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851202040601001201408010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+70Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +70
15Coral scored#1
54Coral points2
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
72Total teleop2
Reef
7L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
80Total score10

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.6
41.542.2
Auto4.7
Teleop42.5
End1.5
red by 35.4
3329
#24
13.30.9
14.213.3
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Second
23.60.4
17.417.8
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.3
red by 15.7
4701
#19
7.90.9
1.30.4
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End1.1
Third
6944
#21
14.90.6
9.39.9
Auto1.4
Teleop11.7
End1.8
red by 8.3
4459
#22
6.60.9
2.71.8
Auto0.8
Teleop5.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed