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Red55
590012.8
381514.6
363521.7
Blue34
670517.6
67129.0
44689.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48250204060801005534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +19
8Coral scored#5
30Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
40Total teleop21
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
55Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.6
23.024.6
Auto3.8
Teleop16.6
End1.2
red by 4.0
6705
#10
17.61.0
11.812.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Second
3815
#15
14.60.9
6.97.8
Auto2.2
Teleop10.9
End1.5
red by 5.3
4468
#23
9.31.0
6.27.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.3
Third
12.81.6
11.012.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End2.2
red by 3.8
6712
#16
9.00.6
7.48.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed6%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed