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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions652020406080100067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+51
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave9
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points11
0Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +31
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
0Total teleop31
Reef
0L4#4
0L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
0Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
0Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1795
#27
5.71.3
2.71.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.5
End0.5
blue by 35.3
41.12.6
35.738.3
Auto8.0
Teleop25.6
End7.4
Second
4.01.3
7.66.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop3.0
End1.3
blue by 8.3
3344
#18
12.32.6
3.96.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Third
5219
#14
3.51.3
1.80.5
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.0
blue by 5.3
7676
#31
8.82.6
3.66.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned