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Red60
97707.2
602322.0
47017.9
Blue72
682917.9
411216.8
332913.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2044060806072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#14
34Coral points50
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
52Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
60Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.02.7
16.018.8
Auto3.8
Teleop16.9
End1.3
red by 4.2
17.92.5
11.714.2
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.1
Second
4701
#19
7.92.7
0.43.1
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End1.1
blue by 8.9
16.82.5
11.313.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Third
9770
#30
7.22.7
3.96.6
Auto1.4
Teleop4.6
End1.3
blue by 6.1
3329
#24
13.32.5
13.315.8
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed