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Red9
44596.6
87615.4
694414.9
Blue41
75149.3
68874.7
560823.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1336020304050607080941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+30
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
0Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
2Coral scored#6
7Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
7Total teleop28
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
9Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6944
#21
14.90.8
9.99.1
Auto1.4
Teleop11.7
End1.8
blue by 8.7
23.60.7
17.818.5
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.3
Second
4459
#22
6.60.8
1.81.0
Auto0.8
Teleop5.6
End0.2
blue by 2.6
7514
#28
9.31.2
9.811.0
Auto1.3
Teleop6.2
End1.8
Third
8761
#20
5.40.8
4.73.9
Auto0.4
Teleop2.8
End2.1
red by 0.7
6887
#29
4.71.2
2.53.7
Auto3.0
Teleop0.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed