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Red41
52193.5
590012.8
100218.1
Blue65
363521.7
560823.6
69057.9
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2457040801004165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +32
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points34
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
26Total teleop58
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
41Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
#13
18.10.5
14.515.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End2.0
blue by 5.5
23.60.4
18.519.0
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.3
Second
12.80.5
12.613.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End2.2
blue by 8.8
21.70.6
24.625.2
Auto3.8
Teleop16.6
End1.2
Third
5219
#14
3.50.5
0.50.9
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.0
blue by 4.4
6905
#17
7.90.6
7.98.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed