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Red105
411216.8
97707.2
297448.8
Blue14
75149.3
884913.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8127020406010012014010514

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+89Teleop
+91Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave0
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +80
21Coral scored#3
76Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
90Total teleop10
Reef
12L4#1
5L3#1
4L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
0Foul points0
105Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.83.4
43.446.8
Auto4.7
Teleop42.5
End1.5
red by 35.7
8849
#11
13.12.0
10.58.5
Auto2.2
Teleop10.1
End0.8
Second
16.83.4
13.817.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End1.6
red by 7.6
7514
#28
9.32.0
11.09.0
Auto1.3
Teleop6.2
End1.8
Third
9770
#30
7.23.4
6.610.0
Auto1.4
Teleop4.6
End1.3
red by 3.2
4.02.0
6.24.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop3.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed