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Red18
68874.7
87615.4
Blue69
47017.9
164831.5
670517.6
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9460204060801001201869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+51
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +44
2Coral scored#9
6Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
6Total teleop50
Reef
1L4#5
0L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
18Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7.00.5
5.66.1
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 24.4
31.53.1
23.026.2
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Second
8761
#20
5.40.5
3.94.4
Auto0.4
Teleop2.8
End2.1
blue by 12.3
6705
#10
17.63.1
12.715.8
Auto3.0
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Third
6887
#29
4.70.5
3.74.2
Auto3.0
Teleop0.4
End1.3
blue by 3.2
4701
#19
7.93.1
3.16.3
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed