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Red26
402612.2
590012.8
44689.3
Blue20
694414.9
67129.0
332913.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3237010205060702620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+4Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +2
2Coral scored#3
7Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
11Total teleop13
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
26Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.80.6
13.012.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End2.2
blue by 2.1
6944
#21
14.91.5
9.17.6
Auto1.4
Teleop11.7
End1.8
Second
4026
#12
12.20.7
9.38.6
Auto1.8
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 1.2
3329
#24
13.31.4
14.212.8
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Third
4468
#23
9.30.6
7.36.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.3
red by 0.3
6712
#16
9.01.0
8.97.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsMissed5%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed