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Red40
47017.9
884913.1
560823.6
Blue72
670517.6
691941.1
402612.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337602040601001204072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#11
20Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
34Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
40Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.4
19.019.4
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.3
blue by 17.5
41.10.9
38.539.4
Auto8.0
Teleop25.6
End7.4
Second
8849
#11
13.10.6
8.59.1
Auto2.2
Teleop10.1
End0.8
blue by 4.6
6705
#10
17.60.9
15.816.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Third
4701
#19
7.90.6
6.36.9
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End1.1
blue by 4.3
4026
#12
12.20.9
8.69.5
Auto1.8
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
4%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned