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Red65
164831.5
411216.8
363521.7
Blue40
694414.9
75149.3
97707.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8323040601001201401606540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +25
9Coral scored#3
32Coral points9
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
40Total teleop15
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
12Foul points18
65Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.51.5
26.224.7
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End2.1
red by 16.5
6944
#21
14.90.5
7.67.1
Auto1.4
Teleop11.7
End1.8
Second
21.71.5
25.223.7
Auto3.8
Teleop16.6
End1.2
red by 12.4
7514
#28
9.30.4
9.08.6
Auto1.3
Teleop6.2
End1.8
Third
16.81.4
17.215.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End1.6
red by 9.6
9770
#30
7.20.4
10.19.7
Auto1.4
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed5%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsEarned