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Red78
100218.1
691941.1
44596.6
Blue27
67129.0
402612.2
87615.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691704060801001201407827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+43Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +36
12Coral scored#3
43Coral points11
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
53Total teleop17
Reef
8L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#5
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
78Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.11.8
39.441.1
Auto8.0
Teleop25.6
End7.4
red by 28.9
4026
#12
12.20.5
9.510.0
Auto1.8
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Second
1002
#13
18.11.8
15.917.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End2.0
red by 9.1
6712
#16
9.00.3
7.98.3
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End2.1
Third
4459
#22
6.61.8
2.74.5
Auto0.8
Teleop5.6
End0.2
red by 1.3
8761
#20
5.40.5
4.54.9
Auto0.4
Teleop2.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed5%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed