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Red30
69057.9
884913.1
68874.7
Blue37
44689.3
47017.9
52193.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25120203040506070803037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
4Coral scored#4
16Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
16Total teleop14
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
2Foul points8
30Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8849
#11
13.10.3
9.19.3
Auto2.2
Teleop10.1
End0.8
red by 3.8
4468
#23
9.30.8
6.67.4
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.3
Second
6905
#17
7.90.3
8.48.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.8
Level
4701
#19
7.90.8
6.97.7
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End1.1
Third
6887
#29
4.70.3
4.34.6
Auto3.0
Teleop0.4
End1.3
red by 1.2
5219
#14
3.50.8
1.01.8
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed6%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed