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Red89
17955.7
297448.8
670517.6
Blue86
694414.9
560823.6
381514.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8435020601001201401608986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +13
18Coral scored#11
65Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
79Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#5
7L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points2
89Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.81.1
47.748.7
Auto4.7
Teleop42.5
End1.5
red by 25.2
23.62.9
19.422.3
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.3
Second
6705
#10
17.61.1
16.717.8
Auto3.0
Teleop12.8
End1.9
red by 2.7
6944
#21
14.93.8
7.110.9
Auto1.4
Teleop11.7
End1.8
Third
1795
#27
5.71.1
3.74.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.5
End0.5
blue by 8.9
3815
#15
14.62.9
8.411.3
Auto2.2
Teleop10.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed5%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed