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Red38
44596.6
75149.3
402612.2
Blue56
884913.1
100218.1
332913.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234704060801003856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +8
6Coral scored#8
21Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
31Total teleop39
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
38Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4026
#12
12.20.8
10.010.7
Auto1.8
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 5.9
1002
#13
18.10.8
17.718.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Second
7514
#28
9.30.8
8.69.4
Auto1.3
Teleop6.2
End1.8
blue by 4.1
3329
#24
13.30.8
13.013.8
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Third
4459
#22
6.60.8
4.55.3
Auto0.8
Teleop5.6
End0.2
blue by 6.5
8849
#11
13.10.8
9.310.2
Auto2.2
Teleop10.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
6%Auto oddsMissed9%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed