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Red40
44689.3
381514.6
17955.7
Blue42
69057.9
602322.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29480204060801004042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+4
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
5Coral scored#5
17Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
25Total teleop26
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
40Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3815
#15
14.61.1
11.312.4
Auto2.2
Teleop10.9
End1.5
blue by 7.4
22.00.4
21.621.9
Auto3.8
Teleop16.9
End1.3
Second
4468
#23
9.31.3
7.48.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.3
red by 1.4
6905
#17
7.90.4
8.79.1
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.8
Third
1795
#27
5.71.3
4.86.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.5
End0.5
blue by 1.3
7.00.4
7.27.5
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
4%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed