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Red40
670517.6
76768.8
682917.9
Blue71
87615.4
52193.5
297448.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406602060801001204071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+33
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +36
4Coral scored#14
15Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
25Total teleop61
Reef
1L4#6
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
40Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.3
13.213.5
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.1
blue by 30.9
48.81.0
48.749.8
Auto4.7
Teleop42.5
End1.5
Second
6705
#10
17.60.3
17.818.1
Auto3.0
Teleop12.8
End1.9
red by 12.3
8761
#20
5.41.0
4.95.9
Auto0.4
Teleop2.8
End2.1
Third
7676
#31
8.80.3
5.35.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.9
End2.6
red by 5.3
5219
#14
3.51.0
1.82.9
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
6%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed