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Red87
590012.8
411216.8
691941.1
Blue39
47017.9
694414.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881904060801001201408739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+30Auto
+34Teleop
+46Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +30
9Leave0
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
30Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#8
27Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
0Processor points6
12Net points0
12Algae points6
39Total teleop35
Reef
3L4#3
5L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
2Foul points0
87Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.10.9
41.142.1
Auto8.0
Teleop25.6
End7.4
red by 26.2
6944
#21
14.91.1
10.912.0
Auto1.4
Teleop11.7
End1.8
Second
16.80.9
15.816.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End1.6
red by 8.9
4701
#19
7.91.1
7.78.8
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End1.1
Third
12.80.9
13.614.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End2.2
red by 8.8
4.01.1
4.35.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop3.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsEarned8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed