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Red67
164831.5
334412.3
560823.6
Blue44
363521.7
68874.7
100218.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624802040801001201406744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +14
6Coral scored#6
20Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
38Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
2Foul points0
67Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.8
24.425.2
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End2.1
red by 9.8
21.70.1
22.522.3
Auto3.8
Teleop16.6
End1.2
Second
23.60.6
22.322.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.3
red by 5.5
1002
#13
18.10.1
18.518.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Third
3344
#18
12.30.8
8.69.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
red by 7.6
6887
#29
4.70.1
4.64.5
Auto3.0
Teleop0.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed