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Red24
332913.3
69057.9
17955.7
Blue45
44596.6
67129.0
682917.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32280204060801002445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+23
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +17
3Coral scored#6
11Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
15Total teleop32
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
24Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3329
#24
13.30.4
13.813.4
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.0
blue by 4.5
17.91.3
13.514.8
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.1
Second
6905
#17
7.90.4
9.18.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.8
blue by 1.1
6712
#16
9.01.2
8.19.3
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End2.1
Third
1795
#27
5.70.4
6.15.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.5
End0.5
blue by 0.9
4459
#22
6.61.3
5.36.6
Auto0.8
Teleop5.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed4%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed