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Red49
87615.4
47017.9
691941.1
Blue10
590012.8
97707.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68280204060801001201404910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+27Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +30
7Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
30Total teleop0
Reef
2L4#0
2L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#1
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
49Total score10

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.10.6
42.141.5
Auto8.0
Teleop25.6
End7.4
red by 28.3
12.81.4
14.613.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End2.2
Second
4701
#19
7.90.6
8.88.2
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End1.1
red by 0.7
9770
#30
7.21.4
8.67.2
Auto1.4
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Third
8761
#20
5.40.6
5.95.4
Auto0.4
Teleop2.8
End2.1
red by 1.4
4.01.4
5.44.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop3.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed