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Red33
682917.9
52193.5
164831.5
Blue9
75149.3
47017.9
590012.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6853020406080100120339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+8Teleop
+6Endgame
+24Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +8
3Coral scored#1
10Coral points2
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
10Total teleop2
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#0
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
18Foul points0
33Total score9

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.54.7
18.313.6
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End2.1
red by 18.6
12.84.1
18.814.7
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End2.2
Second
17.94.7
26.021.3
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.1
red by 8.6
7514
#28DQ
9.34.1
12.07.9
Auto1.3
Teleop6.2
End1.8
Third
5219
#14
3.54.7
13.18.4
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.0
blue by 4.4
4701
#19
7.94.1
14.910.8
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed