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Red2
69057.9
44689.3
87615.4
Blue28
560823.6
402612.2
411216.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions468502060100120140228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
0Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +20
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
0Total teleop20
Reef
0L4#2
0L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
2Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4468
#23DQ
9.34.7
16.611.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.3
blue by 14.3
23.63.2
23.019.8
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.3
Second
6905
#17DQ
7.94.7
12.98.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.8
blue by 8.9
16.84.8
24.619.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Third
8761
#20
5.44.7
14.810.1
Auto0.4
Teleop2.8
End2.1
blue by 6.8
4026
#12
12.24.8
23.818.9
Auto1.8
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed