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Red91
884913.1
694414.9
164831.5
Blue53
44689.3
334412.3
411216.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533602060801001209153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+40Teleop
+44Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +43
14Coral scored#6
50Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
72Total teleop29
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#10
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points6
91Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.53.2
25.228.5
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End2.1
red by 14.6
16.80.9
16.817.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Second
6944
#21
14.93.2
12.015.3
Auto1.4
Teleop11.7
End1.8
red by 2.6
3344
#18
12.30.9
9.410.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Third
8849
#11
13.13.2
10.213.4
Auto2.2
Teleop10.1
End0.8
red by 3.8
4468
#23
9.30.9
8.89.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsEarned