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Red66
560823.6
602322.0
52193.5
Blue39
75149.3
670517.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5941020801001206639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +24
12Coral scored#6
43Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
53Total teleop29
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
66Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.8
22.923.7
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.3
red by 6.0
6705
#10
17.60.1
18.118.0
Auto3.0
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Second
22.00.9
21.922.8
Auto3.8
Teleop16.9
End1.3
red by 12.8
7514
#28
9.30.1
9.49.3
Auto1.3
Teleop6.2
End1.8
Third
5219
#14
3.50.9
2.93.8
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.0
blue by 3.6
7.00.1
7.57.4
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed