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Red31
334412.3
402612.2
381514.6
Blue40
682917.9
76768.8
164831.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3957020801003140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+13
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
3Coral scored#5
12Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
16Total teleop29
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#9
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
31Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3815
#15
14.60.2
14.814.6
Auto2.2
Teleop10.9
End1.5
blue by 16.9
31.50.3
29.829.5
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Second
3344
#18
12.30.2
12.512.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
blue by 5.6
17.90.3
16.215.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.1
Third
4026
#12
12.20.2
12.412.2
Auto1.8
Teleop8.8
End1.5
red by 3.4
7676
#31
8.80.3
7.16.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.9
End2.6