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Red56
884913.1
694414.9
100218.1
Blue71
682917.9
76768.8
164831.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48550204060801005671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+25
Endgame+21
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +15
7Coral scored#9
26Coral points33
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
38Total teleop53
Reef
2L4#5
4L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +15
6Foul points0
56Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
#13
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End2.0
blue by 13.4
31.50.4
29.529.9
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Second
6944
#21
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto1.4
Teleop11.7
End1.8
blue by 2.9
17.90.4
15.916.3
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.1
Third
8849
#11
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto2.2
Teleop10.1
End0.8
red by 4.3
7676
#31
8.80.4
6.87.3
Auto3.3
Teleop2.9
End2.6