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Red74
363521.7
332913.3
560823.6
Blue44
670517.6
44689.3
590012.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714002060801001207444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+20Teleop
+18Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +17
9Coral scored#4
33Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
43Total teleop26
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +30
12Foul points0
74Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.0
23.723.7
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.3
red by 6.0
6705
#10
17.60.1
18.017.9
Auto3.0
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Second
21.70.0
21.821.7
Auto3.8
Teleop16.6
End1.2
red by 8.8
12.80.1
13.213.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End2.2
Third
3329
#24
13.30.0
13.413.4
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.0
red by 4.0
4468
#23
9.30.1
9.79.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.3