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Red50
682917.9
76768.8
164831.5
Blue67
334412.3
402612.2
381514.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53310204060801001205067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +24
6Coral scored#10
21Coral points37
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
0Processor points0
4Net points12
4Algae points12
25Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
50Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.0
28.528.5
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End2.1
red by 16.9
3815
#15
14.60.8
12.613.3
Auto2.2
Teleop10.9
End1.5
Second
17.90.0
14.814.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.1
red by 5.6
3344
#18
12.30.8
10.311.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Third
7676
#31
8.80.0
5.85.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.9
End2.6
blue by 3.4
4026
#12
12.20.8
10.110.9
Auto1.8
Teleop8.8
End1.5