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Red28
411216.8
602322.0
69057.9
Blue68
884913.1
694414.9
100218.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59572040801002868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+6
Endgame+8
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +2
3Coral scored#2
9Coral points7
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
9Total teleop11
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +40
6Foul points38
28Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.7
22.822.2
Auto3.8
Teleop16.9
End1.3
red by 3.9
1002
#13
18.10.4
18.418.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Second
16.80.7
17.717.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End1.6
red by 1.9
6944
#21
14.90.4
15.314.8
Auto1.4
Teleop11.7
End1.8
Third
6905
#17
7.90.7
8.78.1
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.8
blue by 5.2
8849
#11
13.10.4
13.413.0
Auto2.2
Teleop10.1
End0.8