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Red22
67129.0
52193.5
47017.9
Blue35
670517.6
44689.3
590012.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215004060801002235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+11
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points15
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +2
2Coral scored#2
6Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
6Total teleop8
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +13
6Foul points6
22Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6712
#16
9.00.1
9.19.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End2.1
blue by 8.6
6705
#10
17.60.3
17.917.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Second
4701
#19
7.90.1
8.07.9
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End1.1
blue by 4.9
12.80.3
13.112.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End2.2
Third
5219
#14
3.50.1
3.63.5
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.0
blue by 5.8
4468
#23
9.30.3
9.69.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.3