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Red83
682917.9
76768.8
164831.5
Blue40
411216.8
602322.0
69057.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555520304050607080901008340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+37Teleop
+37Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
11Coral scored#5
41Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
55Total teleop25
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points0
83Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.6
28.529.1
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End2.1
red by 9.4
22.00.2
22.222.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.9
End1.3
Second
17.90.6
14.915.5
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.1
red by 1.0
16.80.2
17.016.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Third
7676
#31
8.80.6
5.86.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.9
End2.6
red by 0.9
6905
#17
7.90.2
8.17.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.8