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Red111
691941.1
297448.8
Blue83
363521.7
332913.3
560823.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1116220408010012014016011183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +34
17Coral scored#13
62Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
98Total teleop64
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
111Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.0
48.448.4
Auto4.7
Teleop42.5
End1.5
red by 25.2
23.60.2
23.723.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.3
Second
41.10.0
40.740.7
Auto8.0
Teleop25.6
End7.4
red by 19.4
21.70.2
21.722.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.6
End1.2
Third
7.00.0
6.76.7
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 6.3
3329
#24
13.30.2
13.413.6
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.0