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Red125
886632.9
42409.9
949655.5
Blue111
168333.2
83212.3
183335.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10377204060120140160180125111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+24Teleop
+10Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +35
19Coral scored#13
68Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
100Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#6
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +14
4Foul points0
125Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.6
54.254.8
Auto10.0
Teleop44.7
End0.8
red by 20.5
35.00.8
33.834.6
Auto6.4
Teleop24.5
End4.1
Second
32.90.6
31.632.2
Auto2.9
Teleop29.7
End0.3
blue by 0.3
33.20.8
32.132.8
Auto6.7
Teleop20.6
End5.8
Third
4240
#28
9.90.7
8.59.2
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 2.3
832
#26
12.30.8
11.211.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End2.9