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Red41
886512.5
30914.6
560823.0
Blue19
38153.7
42409.9
947712.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35390102030506070804119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+20Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +14
5Coral scored#2
18Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
26Total teleop12
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
41Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.4
12.112.5
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End0.7
red by 10.6
9477
#23
12.42.3
11.38.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End1.4
Second
8865
#11
12.50.4
12.112.6
Auto2.2
Teleop9.9
End0.4
red by 2.6
4240
#28
9.92.3
10.38.0
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Third
3091
#25
4.60.4
7.58.0
Auto3.5
Teleop0.3
End0.9
red by 0.9
3815
#27
3.72.3
12.510.1
Auto1.0
Teleop0.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed