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Red60
95613.9
168333.2
634030.8
Blue107
141420.3
949655.5
952214.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828020406010012060107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+65
Endgame+57
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +48
5Coral scored#13
18Coral points46
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
0Processor points12
12Net points20
12Algae points32
30Total teleop78
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#2
0L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
10Foul points0
60Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.22.5
36.734.3
Auto6.7
Teleop20.6
End5.8
blue by 22.3
55.53.8
35.239.0
Auto10.0
Teleop44.7
End0.8
Second
30.82.5
22.419.9
Auto5.0
Teleop20.6
End5.3
red by 10.6
20.33.8
21.725.5
Auto4.6
Teleop13.4
End2.2
Third
9561
#31DQ
3.92.5
13.010.6
Auto0.4
Teleop1.5
End1.9
blue by 10.7
9522
#13
14.63.8
16.019.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed