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Red24
83212.3
418924.5
Blue78
671211.6
183335.0
331826.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5860304050702478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+36
Endgame+48
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +16
0Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
0Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
3Coral scored#8
12Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
20Total teleop40
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#4
0L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points6
24Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4189
#12
24.53.2
22.719.5
Auto6.6
Teleop16.6
End1.2
blue by 10.6
35.02.0
18.520.5
Auto6.4
Teleop24.5
End4.1
Second
832
#26
12.33.2
18.215.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End2.9
blue by 14.4
26.72.0
18.320.3
Auto3.9
Teleop19.7
End3.2
Third
10006
#32DQ
2.73.2
12.39.0
Auto0.2
Teleop2.1
End0.5
blue by 8.9
6712
#17
11.62.0
17.219.2
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned