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Red13
710411.4
88729.9
42409.9
Blue51
529317.5
926024.2
873616.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387002060801001201401351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
0Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +27
3Coral scored#7
11Coral points26
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
0Processor points0
0Net points12
0Algae points12
11Total teleop38
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points2
13Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7104
#24
11.43.3
12.08.7
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End1.3
blue by 12.8
9260
#10
24.21.9
23.421.5
Auto3.4
Teleop18.2
End2.6
Second
4240
#28DQ
9.93.3
13.610.3
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 7.6
17.51.9
16.014.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End-0.1
Third
8872
#22
9.93.3
11.58.3
Auto1.5
Teleop7.4
End1.0
blue by 6.3
8736
#16
16.21.9
20.518.6
Auto3.4
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed