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Red34
95613.9
17468.9
873616.2
Blue39
926024.2
418811.1
51097.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55652040801003439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
Fouls+5
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +7
4Coral scored#3
16Coral points11
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
24Total teleop17
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points12
34Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8736
#16
16.22.2
18.616.5
Auto3.4
Teleop11.2
End1.5
blue by 8.0
9260
#10
24.23.8
21.517.7
Auto3.4
Teleop18.2
End2.6
Second
1746
#19
8.92.2
19.116.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End2.2
blue by 2.2
4188
#18
11.13.8
20.216.4
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End1.0
Third
9561
#31
3.92.2
10.68.4
Auto0.4
Teleop1.5
End1.9
blue by 3.2
5109
#20
7.13.8
13.810.0
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned