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Red60
710411.4
331826.7
948013.0
Blue55
418924.5
75388.8
745121.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495502040801001201401606055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+3Teleop
Endgame+7
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +16
6Coral scored#4
22Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
36Total teleop20
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
12Foul points0
60Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.9
20.319.5
Auto3.9
Teleop19.7
End3.2
red by 2.3
4189
#12
24.50.7
19.518.8
Auto6.6
Teleop16.6
End1.2
Second
9480
#21
13.00.9
15.714.8
Auto2.3
Teleop8.4
End2.3
blue by 8.7
7451
#14
21.80.7
18.618.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.7
End4.1
Third
7104
#24
11.40.9
8.77.8
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End1.3
red by 2.6
7538
#30
8.80.7
11.611.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned