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Red48
947712.4
331826.7
17468.9
Blue31
948013.0
38153.7
745121.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565110203040607080904831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+21Teleop
+11Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +15
4Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
18Total teleop3
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
12Foul points6
48Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.0
19.518.4
Auto3.9
Teleop19.7
End3.2
red by 5.0
7451
#14
21.82.0
18.016.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.7
End4.1
Second
9477
#23
12.41.0
8.97.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End1.4
blue by 0.6
9480
#21
13.02.0
14.812.8
Auto2.3
Teleop8.4
End2.3
Third
1746
#19
8.91.0
16.915.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End2.2
red by 5.2
3815
#27
3.72.0
10.18.1
Auto1.0
Teleop0.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned