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Red51
886632.9
95613.9
952214.6
Blue78
183335.0
42409.9
873616.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575002040801001205178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+19
Endgame+33
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +9
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
40Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
6Foul points0
51Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.7
21.821.1
Auto2.9
Teleop29.7
End0.3
blue by 2.1
35.03.6
21.425.0
Auto6.4
Teleop24.5
End4.1
Second
9522
#13
14.60.7
20.720.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End0.8
blue by 1.6
8736
#16
16.23.6
16.520.0
Auto3.4
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Third
9561
#31
3.90.7
8.47.7
Auto0.4
Teleop1.5
End1.9
blue by 6.1
4240
#28
9.93.6
8.011.6
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned