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Red13
42409.9
886512.5
473015.3
Blue29
949655.5
948013.0
88729.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions511030204060801201401601329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto0
TeleoperatedBlue +17
2Coral scored#5
8Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
8Total teleop25
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
13Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4730
#15
15.34.0
14.710.7
Auto2.6
Teleop11.5
End1.2
blue by 40.2
55.56.3
41.535.2
Auto10.0
Teleop44.7
End0.8
Second
8865
#11DQ
12.54.0
16.812.8
Auto2.2
Teleop9.9
End0.4
blue by 0.5
9480
#21
13.06.3
26.220.0
Auto2.3
Teleop8.4
End2.3
Third
4240
#28DQ
9.94.0
17.613.6
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Level
8872
#22
9.90.1
11.411.5
Auto1.5
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed