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Red34
17468.9
873616.2
634030.8
Blue28
745121.8
141420.3
529317.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95984060801201403428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
4Coral scored#3
14Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
24Total teleop18
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
34Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.85.9
30.524.5
Auto5.0
Teleop20.6
End5.3
red by 9.1
7451
#14
21.86.5
28.622.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.7
End4.1
Second
8736
#16
16.25.9
26.420.5
Auto3.4
Teleop11.2
End1.5
blue by 4.1
20.36.5
32.726.2
Auto4.6
Teleop13.4
End2.2
Third
1746
#19
8.95.9
27.821.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End2.2
blue by 8.6
17.56.5
22.516.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed