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Red47
75388.8
51097.1
949655.5
Blue35
926024.2
473015.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions723902060801001201404735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +12
7Coral scored#6
26Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
36Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points6
47Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.51.8
39.237.4
Auto10.0
Teleop44.7
End0.8
red by 31.3
9260
#10
24.21.6
17.716.1
Auto3.4
Teleop18.2
End2.6
Second
7538
#30
8.81.8
11.09.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 6.5
4730
#15
15.31.6
10.58.9
Auto2.6
Teleop11.5
End1.2
Third
5109
#20
7.11.8
10.08.2
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.2
red by 4.3
2.71.6
9.27.6
Auto0.2
Teleop2.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed