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Red82
560823.0
83212.3
183335.0
Blue29
418811.1
873616.2
745121.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526002040801001208229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+51Teleop
+59Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +44
12Coral scored#2
42Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
52Total teleop8
Reef
4L4#2
7L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#4
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points6
82Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.03.9
25.028.9
Auto6.4
Teleop24.5
End4.1
red by 13.3
7451
#14
21.83.3
16.012.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.7
End4.1
Second
23.03.9
12.516.4
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End0.7
red by 6.8
8736
#16
16.23.3
20.016.8
Auto3.4
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Third
832
#26
12.33.9
9.613.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End2.9
red by 1.1
4188
#18
11.13.3
16.413.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed