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Red35
51097.1
473015.3
168333.2
Blue10
17468.9
30914.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5835020801001203510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
6Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
25Total teleop0
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#0
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
35Total score10

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.21.5
31.730.2
Auto6.7
Teleop20.6
End5.8
red by 24.2
1746
#19
8.92.5
15.913.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End2.2
Second
4730
#15
15.31.5
8.97.4
Auto2.6
Teleop11.5
End1.2
red by 10.7
3091
#25
4.62.5
8.76.2
Auto3.5
Teleop0.3
End0.9
Third
5109
#20
7.11.5
8.26.7
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.2
red by 4.3
2.72.5
7.65.1
Auto0.2
Teleop2.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed