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Red32
141420.3
42409.9
Blue32
947712.4
671211.6
88729.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47300204060801003232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
0Fouls0
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
4Coral scored#4
16Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
24Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points6
32Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.3
Auto4.6
Teleop13.4
End2.2
red by 7.8
9477
#23
12.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End1.4
Second
4240
#28
9.9
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 1.7
6712
#17
11.6
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End2.5
Third
2.7
Auto0.2
Teleop2.1
End0.5
blue by 7.2
8872
#22
9.9
Auto1.5
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed