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Red44
42409.9
58281.8
926024.2
Blue107
634030.8
949655.5
473015.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2885020406010012014044107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+55
Endgame+63
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +45
6Coral scored#17
22Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
32Total teleop77
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#3
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points0
44Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9260
#10
24.20.9
19.720.6
Auto3.4
Teleop18.2
End2.6
blue by 31.3
55.53.6
40.343.8
Auto10.0
Teleop44.7
End0.8
Second
4240
#28
9.90.9
11.612.4
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 20.9
30.83.6
22.125.7
Auto5.0
Teleop20.6
End5.3
Third
5828
#29
1.80.9
-1.1-0.2
Auto0.9
Teleop0.9
End-0.1
blue by 13.6
4730
#15
15.33.6
7.411.0
Auto2.6
Teleop11.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned