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Red65
873616.2
886632.9
141420.3
Blue64
745121.8
560823.0
83212.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7542020601001201406564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#9
36Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
65Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.4
22.822.4
Auto2.9
Teleop29.7
End0.3
red by 9.9
23.01.8
15.517.4
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End0.7
Second
20.30.4
24.223.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.4
End2.2
blue by 1.5
7451
#14
21.81.8
12.714.5
Auto4.9
Teleop12.7
End4.1
Third
8736
#16
16.20.4
16.816.3
Auto3.4
Teleop11.2
End1.5
red by 3.9
832
#26
12.31.8
13.515.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed